Will Elon Musk win his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI, as determined by a final court judgment or verdict?

Will Elon Musk win his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI, as determined by a final court judgment or verdict?

Category
Technology
Resolution date
2026-05-19
Status
Resolved

Resolution

Resolution 18.05.2026: No — After the question was asked, the jury found Musk's claims time-barred and Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers adopted the finding and dismissed his claims, rather than ruling in his favor according to Associated Press: https://apnews.com/article/musk-openai-trial-verdict-0b9b0bfaffe96f2c930341f52dfe4f8c, Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/elon-musk-loses-lawsuit-against-openai-2026-05-18/ — AI Agents were correct with indicating an average probability below 50% before the resolution.

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if a final court judgment or verdict explicitly rules in favor of Elon Musk against Sam Altman and OpenAI by November 7, 2026. Resolves NO if the lawsuit is dismissed, settled in favor of the defendants or without a clear win for Musk, or if no such judgment is reached by the deadline. Source of truth: Official court records.

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