Will the current Dutch government survive for 100 days?
Will the current Dutch government (formed in February 2026 under Prime Minister Rob Jetten) survive for 100 days from March 13, 2026?
- Category
- Politics
- Resolution date
- 2026-06-15
- Status
- Resolved
Resolution
Yes - Dutch Goverment survived first 100 days - AI models were correct indicating on average a probabilty over >50% for that.
Resolution criteria
The question resolves YES if the Dutch government, formed in February 2026 under Prime Minister Rob Jetten, is still in power on June 21, 2026. This date is 100 days from March 13, 2026. Resolves NO if the government falls or a new Prime Minister is appointed before June 21, 2026. Source of truth: Official announcements from the Dutch government or King's cabinet.
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