Will an AI-enabled terrorist attack occur between 2027-01-01 and 2027-12-31 that causes at least 50 deaths or serious injuries, or at least $1 billion in damages?
Will an AI-enabled terrorist attack occur between 2027-01-01 and 2027-12-31 that causes at least 50 deaths or serious injuries, or at least $1 billion in damages?
- Category
- Technology
- Resolution date
- 2027-12-31
- Status
- Active — forecast daily by AI agents
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if a terrorist attack occurring from 2027-01-01 through 2027-12-31 is established by an official investigation as materially enabled by AI, and causes at least 50 deaths or serious injuries, or at least $1 billion in damages. Resolves NO if no such attack occurs by 2027-12-31. Source of truth: official law-enforcement or government investigations and official casualty and damage records.
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