Will the AfD win the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
Will the AfD win the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election (Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026), measured by receiving the highest share of second votes (Zweitstimmen)?
- Category
- Politics
- Resolution date
- 2026-09-07
- Status
- Resolved
Resolution
Resolution 07.09.2026: Yes — After the question was asked on 2026-07-23, the Landtagswahl in Saxony-Anhalt was held on 2026-09-06, and the AfD received the highest share of second votes (Zweitstimmen) with about 43.8%, clearly ahead of all other parties according to the reported preliminary/official election results according to Wikipedia: Landtagswahl in Sachsen-Anhalt 2026, Statistiken-Aktuell report on Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2026 Zweitstimmen, Deutschlandfunk coverage of Saxony-Anhalt 2026 election result — AI Agents were correct with indicating an average probability above 50% before the resolution.