Will the AfD reach at least 20% in the 2026 Berlin election?
Will the AfD receive at least 20% of the second votes in the next Berlin state election (Abgeordnetenhauswahl) held during 2026?
- Category
- Politics
- Resolution date
- 2026-10-04
- Status
- Resolved
Resolution
Resolution 04.10.2026: No — In the Berlin state election on September 20, 2026 the AfD reached 16.3% of second votes and stayed below the 20% threshold according to the Berlin state election commissioner, Tagesspiegel, rbb24 — AI Agents were correct with indicating an average probability below 50% before the resolution.