2027 Outlook: AI Forecasts for the Year Ahead
What will happen in 2027? Daily probabilities from 10 AI models on AI, geopolitics, economy, climate, science and European politics — including questions prediction markets don't cover.
- Ana Brnabić runs for Serbian president?
- Linke ahead of Greens in a poll by 2028?
- Which outcome best describes Aleph Alpha's future by December 31, 2027: it becomes a leading German/European AI company, it remains a niche enterprise AI provider, or it declines or is acquired?
- Will US confirm alien existence?
- Hormuz oil flows reach 18 million b/d by June 2027?
- Linke 10 Punkte vor SPD bis Ende 2027?
- Will Behemoth win Best Picture?
- Will any country detonate a nuclear weapon as part of a hostile act by 2027-12-30?
- Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed?
- Will Ulrich Siegmund have at least 1,000,000 TikTok followers by December 31, 2026?
- Will Israel carry out at least one military attack on Iranian territory between January 1 and December 31, 2027?
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2027 Champions League?
- Aschenbrenner AI fund to lose 25% in another month?
- Will Galeria announce a new investor on or before March 31, 2027?
- Will Aschenbrenner publish a new major AI forecast?
- Brent oil below $75 in March 2027?
- Will Google DeepMind announce its first Asia-Pacific environmental-risk accelerator cohort by June 30, 2027?
- Will Trade Republic publicly announce that a new investor has joined its shareholder base by July 1, 2027?
- Will Helsing announce at least one investor not previously publicly identified as an investor in the company by 2027-03-31?
- Mauna Loa CO₂ at 430 ppm+ in May 2027?
- Volt ≥2% in North Rhine-Westphalia 2027?
- Will the European Union formally approve the use of frozen Russian central bank assets to support Ukraine by June 30, 2027?
- When will Trade Republic do an IPO?
- Will the ECB’s March 2027 staff projections forecast average euro area HICP inflation below 2.0% for 2027?
- Will AI tools successfully recover access to lost or forgotten cryptocurrency wallets for users by December 31, 2027?
- Die Linke ≥5% in Saarland 2027?
- 18+ named Atlantic storms in 2027?
- Will the IAEA report that Iran has produced uranium enriched to at least 90% by December 31, 2027?
- US outside Paris Agreement at COP32?
- EU carbon price above €100 end-2027?
- EU 2040 climate target adopted by 2027?
- Will the United States and Iran sign a new nuclear agreement by December 31, 2027?
- Cat 4+ hurricane US landfall in 2027?
- Will the U.S. Federal Reserve raise its federal funds target rate at least once at an FOMC meeting between 2027-01-01 and 2027-12-31?
- Will any monthly Eurostat flash estimate of euro area annual HICP inflation exceed 3.0% from October 2026 through December 2027?
- Will the relationship with my girlfriend be okay by 2027-12-31?
- Which unemployment-rate threshold will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) seasonally adjusted U-3 measure reach or exceed in at least one monthly report from now through December 31, 2027?
- Arctic sea ice record low in 2027?
- RBI repo rate at 5.75% by March 2027?
- New European heat record in 2027?
- Will the ECB deposit facility rate be below 2.50% on June 30, 2027, according to the ECB’s official key interest rates?
- Will U.S. officials confirm that Iran conducted a ballistic missile test with a range above 3,000 km by 2027-06-30?
- SNS-backed president after Vučić?
- China blockades Taiwan by mid-2027?
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky and Vladimir Putin meet in person at least once by December 31, 2027?
- RN candidate's first-round vote share, France 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb shipping back to pre-crisis levels?
- Diesel below 2.20 EUR by end of 2026?
- India inflation above 5% this winter?
- Will a candidate of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) be directly elected mayor of a German city with more than 100,000 residents by December 30, 2027?
- German pension increase 2027 at 4.5%+?
- Will a politician affiliated with Die Linke be elected mayor or governing mayor of a German city with more than 100,000 residents by 2027-12-31?
- Will the Federal Reserve’s total assets, as reported in the H.4.1 weekly release, exceed $7 trillion in the release covering June 30, 2027?
- Will Germany's official national all-time temperature record, as confirmed by the German Weather Service (DWD), exceed 41.8°C by 2027-12-31?
- AfD dauerhaft vor Union in Umfragen?
- Burnham still UK PM at end of 2027?
- Will water become as important as oil by 2050?
- Will the ECB announce a new targeted longer-term refinancing operation (TLTRO-style) by 2027-12-31?
- Will the European Central Bank (ECB) activate its Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) at any time before December 31, 2027?
- Will Germany introduce a four-day workweek pilot by December 31, 2027